Wednesday, July 30, 2008

From THG via Aarin

Message Forwarded From The Humble Grasshopper

Currently, we have a few suspects based on the clues. Malice-sama is revealed quite effectively as unaffiliated--and the only reasoning I can come up with for his explicit reveal to me (because I pressured him upon that 1 mafia in vampirate's lynch) that he was unaffiliated is that he is godmother. This doesn't have to be true. It could have been solely an effort to redirect my efforts on the mafia who were, at the time, much more of a threat. Malice-sama has, without question, voted for whomever I wished him in the lynch. Eventually he will have to turn against town, and I suspect that is now. Malice has a two-in-three chance of being a sibling, so a dead vote to prevent his action would be 66% likely to prevent another kill.

Peripheral possibilities, as pointed to by the clues (albeit vaguely), are Jun and Madogu Abuser. Madogu because his interests are "Breathing Eating and Sleeping" and eating is a theme in the sibling kills. Jun because "golden" is also a frequent occurance and her location is "At home, eating Goldfish." Again, the eating, but this time also with the golden.

I also strongly agree with Squidworth and Aarin as to the possibility and likelihood of Eyolo being the final mafia (and thus storyteller). He has been active on the forum elsewhere, but hasn't "touched" any public part of this game--despite having initially said that he would vote for me, he voted for no one in the elections. While he implies inactivity, his actions in other threads (and lack of response to direct inquiries) paints him as a likely mafia or unaffiliated. I guess mafia.

Regarding that peculiar vote-check, I feel that it is possible (even likely) that the storyteller masqueraded either Roxy or myself as mafia in order to try to keep the detectives from contacting us directly. This would also be reflected in vote-tallies, and both of us voted for Vampirate in that list. Thus, there is a scenario possible where the 1 mafia might not be a mafia at all. SpiritClaw16 has claimed to me to be veteran, and he claimed also to know a mafia but was unable to tell me. When Kemindul was lynched, he PMed me telling me that Kemindul was the mafia he couldn't speak about and that Kemindul had threatened his existence in the game.

I feel that he was probably telling the truth. This leads me to be inclined to believe the scenario where the storyteller masqueraded someone as mafia.

For Day 8, I intend to support the lynch of Zaxser or Malice-sama. But I am currently unsure as to which I should go after yet. Squidworth seems to think that we should attempt to get Zaxser to hit one of the siblings (but Zaxser is not as bad of a player as Squid suspects him to be, so I do not think that this will be effective).

Input would be appreciated~~

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I don't think the storyteller would have masked himself as Rox or THG... a detective check would have shown the person as mayor/pardoner which would be an immediate tell that the person was storyteller.

Not sure who the ST is since that role leaved behind no clues. It becomes a networking game at that point.